The Commercial Space: Building Toward the Next Launch: Commercial Space Progress in January 2026
Stoked Space Stays Heads-Down on Engine Development
While Stoked Space hasn’t made headlines with big announcements this month, the company remains diligently focused on hardware development for its Nova rocket. Recent activity from the company’s social media channels reveals progress on key propulsion systems, including the Zenith engine. On February 5, 2026, Stoked shared a video showcasing the Zenith engine’s fuel pump suction performance, noting that testing of the turbomachinery remains “so far, so good.”
Earlier in January, the company hosted Tim Dodd—better known as Everyday Astronaut—at its Moses Lake, Washington, test facility. Footage from that visit, released in multiple posts between January 8 and 28, highlighted both the Zenith and Andromeda engines, offering a rare glimpse into Stoked’s ground testing infrastructure. The company also emphasized its work on software tools, notably BoltlineApp, a platform developed internally to manage complex hardware projects, which Stoked co-founder Andy Lapsa discussed with Dodd during the tour.
Another critical milestone came on January 23, when Stoked shared a test of its Flight Termination System (FTS)—a crucial component of Nova’s Autonomous Flight Safety System (AFSS). The FTS is designed to monitor the rocket’s trajectory in real time and autonomously command termination if the vehicle deviates from preset safety limits. Though no upcoming launch dates have been announced, these incremental validations suggest the company is methodically advancing toward its orbital debut.
For Canadian readers, there’s no direct link to Stoked Space this month—no Canadian payloads, partnerships, or personnel mentioned. But for those following the new entrants in the small launch market, Stoked’s steady progress is worth watching, especially as it builds out its engine and vehicle test capabilities in the U.S. Pacific Northwest.

Firefly’s Alpha Block II Prepares for Flight 8
Firefly Aerospace is moving full speed ahead with its Alpha rocket upgrade, announcing a Block II configuration set to debut on Flight 8. The company says the changes—ranging from structural reinforcements to in-house avionics—are designed to boost reliability, streamline manufacturing, and support responsive national security and commercial missions. Flight 7, expected to launch “in the coming weeks” from Vandenberg Space Force Base, will serve as a testbed for several Block II subsystems operating in “shadow mode” to gather flight heritage before full implementation.
Key upgrades include lengthening the rocket from 97 to 104 feet, strengthening carbon composite structures using automated fibre placement, and optimizing propellant tanks for better thermal protection and longer burn times. Firefly also plans to replace off-the-shelf batteries and avionics with consolidated, internally developed systems—improving both schedule certainty and production efficiency. As CEO Jason Kim stated, the Block II represents “a culture of continuous improvement” informed by data from six prior Alpha launches and hundreds of hardware tests.
Firefly’s lunar ambitions also remain in the spotlight. On January 15, the company marked the anniversary of its Blue Ghost lunar lander’s launch aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9, sharing nostalgic images of the mission. The lander, which successfully touched down on the Moon, earned Firefly both the AAS Space Technology Award and an Astro Award in January—a rare double honour that highlights the company’s growing credibility in deep space operations.
While no Canadian involvement has been disclosed in these recent developments, Firefly’s emphasis on responsive launch and international collaboration could eventually open doors for Canadian payloads, particularly in Earth observation—a domain where Canada has significant expertise. For now, Canadian space watchers can appreciate Firefly’s engineering pragmatism: fix what’s broken, fly smarter, and keep building.

Relativity Space Advances Toward Terran R Integration
Relativity Space is deep in the build phase for its next-generation Terran R rocket, with January 2026 marking a surge in hardware production and test activity. According to the company’s December 2025 program update—released January 12—the team has released 1,526 flight parts and is progressing across all major vehicle systems, from tanks to thrust structures.
At its Long Beach facility, the Stage 2 tank has completed acceptance testing and returned for integration, including installation of composite overwrapped pressure vessels (COPVs). The Stage 1 downcomer, now 57 feet (17.4 metres) long, is nearing completion, and work has already begun on the thrust structure for Flight 2, signaling Relativity’s intent to scale beyond its maiden launch. Propulsion development is also accelerating: six Aeon R and Aeon V engines were on-site at NASA’s Stennis Space Center in Mississippi on a single day, with two first-stage flight engines cleared for use and second-stage engine testing ongoing.
Meanwhile, construction at Launch Complex 16 (LC-16) in Cape Canaveral continues apace. Teams have poured above-ground concrete for the launch mount, installed siding on the horizontal integration facility, and begun erecting the engineering support building, which will eventually house up to 150 personnel. The company describes 2026 as a “defining year” as it moves from component fabrication to full vehicle integration and launch preparation.
No Canadian partnerships or payloads were noted in Relativity’s January updates. However, as Canada continues to expand its role in space robotics and satellite servicing—areas where Terran R’s high lift capacity could be relevant— future collaboration isn’t out of the question. For now, the company’s focus remains firmly on proving its fully 3D-printed, reusable launch vehicle can deliver on its ambitious promises.
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Axiom Secures Fifth Private Mission and Refines Lunar Suit
Axiom Space has locked in its fifth private astronaut mission to the International Space Station, with NASA formally ordering Axiom Mission 5 (Ax-5) on January 30, 2026. The flight is targeted for no earlier than January 2027 and will launch from Kennedy Space Center aboard a SpaceX Crew Dragon. While the crew has not yet been announced, Ax-5 will continue Axiom’s trend of flying international astronauts—past missions have included first-time spaceflyers from Saudi Arabia, Turkey, India, Poland, and Hungary.
Since its first mission in 2022, Axiom has flown 14 astronauts and conducted over 160 microgravity research activities. The company highlighted its new partnership with Voyager Technologies, which will support payload integration on Ax-5—an expansion of its end-to-end mission services. “This award underscores Axiom Space’s commitment to redefining access to space,” said CEO Dr. Jonathan Cirtain.
Beyond ISS missions, Axiom continues work on its lunar ambitions. In late January, the company showcased its AxEMU spacesuit during a visit by NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman. The suit, designed for the Artemis III Moon landing, promises greater flexibility and safety for lunar south pole operations. Axiom also released updates on its Axiom Station thermal control system and orbital data centres (ODCs), with two ODC nodes recently launched on SpaceX’s “Twilight” mission—a step toward a commercial data infrastructure in low Earth orbit.
For Canadian readers, there’s a noteworthy connection: CSA astronaut Jeremy Hansen is training for the Artemis II mission, which will orbit the Moon using NASA’s Orion spacecraft. While Axiom isn’t directly involved in Artemis II, its AxEMU suit will be used on Artemis III and beyond—meaning Canadian astronauts on future lunar surface missions may one day wear Axiom-designed gear. Until then, Axiom’s growing role in commercial human spaceflight offers a compelling model for international participation in space.

Citations
- “Firefly Aerospace Announces Alpha Block II Configuration Upgrade for Flight 8” – https://fireflyspace.com/news/firefly-aerospace-announces-alpha-block-ii-configuration-upgrade-for-flight-8/
- “December 2025 Company Update” – https://www.relativityspace.com/press-release/2026/1/12/december-2025-company-update
- “NASA Selects Axiom Space for Fifth Private Astronaut Mission to International Space Station” – https://www.axiomspace.com/release/nasa-selects-axiom-space-for-fifth-private-astronaut-mission-to-international-space-station
Upcoming Launches
Stairway to Seven

Launch Provider: Firefly Aerospace – Commercial
Launch Date: February 14, 2026
Launch Time: 12:50 AM UTC
Vehicle: Firefly Alpha
Brief: Firefly Alpha’s Flight 7 will be a test flight and return-To-Flight for the launch vehicle after its April 2025 launch failure. It will test and validate key systems ahead of Firefly’s Block II configuration upgrade on Flight 8 that’s designed to enhance reliability and manufacturability across the vehicle.
Flight 7 will be the last flown in Alpha’s current configuration and will test multiple Block II subsystems, including the in-house avionics and thermal improvements, to gain flight heritage and validate lessons learned ahead of the full configuration upgrade on Flight 8.
VICTUS HAZE Jackal

Launch Provider: Firefly Aerospace – Commercial
Launch Date: June 30, 2026
Launch Time: 12:00 AM UTC
Vehicle: Firefly Alpha Block 2
Brief: True Anomaly’s Jackal Autonomous Orbital Vehicle (AOV) will support U.S. Space Force Space Systems Command’s VICTUS HAZE Tactically Responsive Space (TacRS) mission with operations in orbit proximity with another spacecraft built by Rocket Lab National Security.
The spacecraft, once completed, will remain on call until the U.S. Space Force provides the notice to launch. The Firefly team will then have 24 hours to transport the payload fairing to the pad, mate the fairing to the Alpha rocket, fuel the rocket, and launch within the first available window.
QuickSounder

Launch Provider: Firefly Aerospace – Commercial
Launch Date: September 30, 2026
Launch Time: 12:00 AM UTC
Vehicle: Firefly Alpha Block 2
Brief: QuickSounder is the first satellite mission of the Near Earth Orbit Network (NEON) program of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which aims to replace the current Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) series of polar orbit weather satellites. This pathfinder mission will demonstrate NOAA’s ability to launch a small satellite within 3 years, flying a refurbished Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) instrument to polar orbit.
INCUS

Launch Provider: Firefly Aerospace – Commercial
Launch Date: October 31, 2026
Launch Time: 12:00 AM UTC
Vehicle: Firefly Alpha Block 2
Brief: The Investigation of Convective Updrafts (INCUS) is a NASA Earth science mission led by Colorado State University that will investigate the behavior of tropical storms in order to better represent these storms in weather and climate models. It consists of 3 SmallSats flying in tight coordination to study why convective storms, heavy precipitation, and clouds occur exactly when and where they form.
Each satellite will have a high frequency precipitation radar that observes rapid changes in convective cloud depth and intensities. 1 of the 3 satellites also will carry a microwave radiometer to provide the spatial content of the larger scale weather observed by the radars. By flying so closely together, the satellites will use the slight differences in when they make observations to apply a novel time-differencing approach to estimate the vertical transport of convective mass.
TacSat

Launch Provider: Firefly Aerospace – Commercial
Launch Date: December 31, 2026
Launch Time: 12:00 AM UTC
Vehicle: Firefly Alpha Block 2
Brief: First of up to 25 launches of Low Earth Orbit technology demonstration satellites to be built and operated by Lockheed Martin.
TacSat is an intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance spacecraft with a mission to prove specialized sensing and communications capabilities on orbit. The satellite will participate in exercises that highlight cross-domain kill-web connectivity, enabling timely execution of tactical space missions.
TacSat will host a proven Lockheed Martin infrared sensor on board that brings previously developed technology to space for the first time. This sensor produces high quality imagery and it can interface with federated Battle Management Command & Control (BMC2) combat systems to provide joint forces with a comprehensive view of threats.
The satellite will also feature Lockheed Martin’s first 5G.MIL® payload on orbit. This provides cellular-like networking for military space assets, making satellite constellations more resilient. It also helps enable seamless connectivity with tools in the air, at sea and on land.
Launch operation will also again demonstrate responsive space pre-launch operation capabilities.